Roger Federer Injury Might Shake Up Wimbledon 2016 Market

Roger Federer recently announced a back injury.

By: Shane Lambert

Roger Federer announced on Monday that he injured his back over the weekend. The injury certainly doesn’t sound all that serious as Federer said he plans to “get ready…for Rome,” a tournament that runs next week. However, given how the Swiss Maestro’s season has gone I think we can be a little bit skeptical of Federer at this point in his career.

I remember remarking favorably on Federer’s odds for the French Open at 33 to 1 in a late-March article. However, when it comes to Wimbledon 2016 you can do no better on Federer than 7 to 1 with Ladbrokes. He is priced as the third favorite at the moment but you have to wonder if Federer is going to drift soon and if Nadal will shorten.

Where Federer is fading, the Spaniard seems to be picking up some momentum. The former two-time Wimbledon champion won Monte-Carlo and Barcelona this season already and he looks better now than he has in ages. If Nadal is at 95% of his best tennis, then 20 to 1 (Stan James) for the All England Club is a betting line that has serious potential to shorten despite the setbacks in recent seasons at the venue.

For sure, Federer has to be considered “don’t touch” as his betting lines in numerous markets, if they move at all, should drift. Even if the back injury is just a tweak as opposed to something serious, punters, due to how Federer’s season has gone, have to be asking themselves one thing right now with the former World No. 1: what’s next?

It’s also a little bit disconcerting that Federer suffered the injury in practice. Unlike match play where an opponent can move you around and force you to do things you don’t want to do, practice is usually less risky as players are in control of their movements. When I look at Federer’s age and his repeated interviews where he announces withdrawals, things certainly aren’t looking all that great.

Recommendation:

2-pt bet on Nadal to win Wimbledon at 20 to 1 each way with Stan James