Milos Raonic 50 to 1 – 2016 Australian Open

Milos Raonic claimed a title at Brisbane last week. Article looks at his betting odds for majors in the 2016.

By: Shane Lambert

A couple of days ago I wrote about Milos Raonic and how he looked in the futures market for 2016. The impetus for the examination of the Canadian player was that he defeated Roger Federer and claimed the 2016 ATP Brisbane title. In related news Raonic, who appears back to full health following a disappointing 2015, also joined forces with Carlos Moya recently – a former World No. 1 player.

That Moya can help take Raonic to new heights is clear based on the fact that the Spaniard knows what it takes. However, I still do not have a lot of faith in Raonic’s ability to win a major. Taller players like him are shots in the dark when it comes to winning Grand Slams. Of course, there are precedents in players as tall as Raonic winning majors, but they are very exceptional as opposed to the norm.

However, Raonic is also at very long odds for all majors in 2016 and the length on the following odds may be redeeming:

  1. 50 to 1 to win at Melbourne Park with William Hill
  2. 100 to 1 to win at Roland Garros with SportingBet
  3. 40 to 1 to win at the All England Club with Stan James
  4. 50 to 1 to win at Flushing Meadows with BetVictor

When it comes to the quickly approaching Australian Open, Raonic is a very tough player to back without knowing what side of the draw he will be on (Djokovic’s or Murray’s). If the Canadian is on Djokovic’s side then he will be very unlikely to make the final. However, if Raonic is on Murray’s side then the Brisbane champ would stand a fighting chance.

The importance of having Raonic on the side of the draw opposing Djokovic has to do with each-way betting (ie. a runnerup finish pays half odds). That said, I think it would be a good idea to wait for the draw to come out for Melbourne Park before taking a small stab at Raonic at 50 to 1. On the other hand, I think all the other markets above should be taken now as the odds promise to shorten over the course of the season.

If Raonic continues to play above Federer then the Canadian won’t be at 100 to 1 when Roland Garros comes around.

Recommendations:

1-pt bets to back Raonic in all Grand Slam futures markets (pending the draw for Melbourne Park)